Here it is.
I have seen many mock drafts already on the net and in magazines, and the general consensus has the Lions taking Georgia QB Matt Stafford with the first overall pick.
I think this is a bad decision. Why? Over the last 10 years, there have been eight underclass QBs taken in the draft. Out of those, only two are currently starters on their teams (Aaron Rodgers, Ben Roethlisberger). Others JaMarcus Russell, Vince Young, Alex Smith) are still in the league, but have had little-to-no effectiveness.
The Lions need to make a selection that will help them for the next 10-15 years...and I do not believe Stafford is that guy. It might not even be an OT. I'm not sure, but for every Big Ben and A-Rod, there are a bunch of Tim Couchs as well. Not a good ratio to base the state of your franchise on.
Stafford could very well have a great NFL career, but I just don't see first overall value there. The Lions should wait until later in the first or even the second round to take their guy.
To be honest, I really don't see value in any of the QBs in the 2009 class. It is top-heavy, and even then, the only guy who put up huge numbers in college was USC's Mark Sanchez, but he was a one-year starter. Teams are going to reach for QBs, they always do. It will be even more this year, after watching Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco excel a season ago.
If you are the Lions, I guess you have nothing to lose. But really, why not make a pick that will save your franchise. Take a OT, and wait for Sam Bradford or Colt McCoy next year. I mean, the Lions will be selecting in the top five again next year. Am I wrong?
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